Alan Zendell, June 10, 2026,
We wake up every morning hoping to learn that our president has finally reached the initial stages of a deal to permanently end the fighting around the Persian Gulf and neighboring countries. Every day that goal seems more tenuous, and today, Donald Trump, who has claimed for weeks that he’s in no hurry to make a deal with Iran, accused that country of dragging its feet and threatened to attack its energy infrastructure to punish them.
Yesterday, he ordered an attack on a reservoir, denying potable water to a nearby town. That sounds like a tone deaf escalation of the fighting and possibly a war crime.
Trump himself is the greatest obstacle to a deal. His social media posts, his daily self-contradictions, his obvious lack of respect for Iran’s negotiators, and his wild threats make already difficult negotiations nearly impossible. Every day this continues, Trump and Congressional Republicans grow more desperate about the midterm elections, and everyone else bears the costs of the war.
Some of those costs are transparent, while others, perhaps the bulk of them are not. The Apache helicopter that Iran took down this week will cost $120 million to replace. Our brilliant military was able to rescue the crew, but even rescue missions cost a fortune. That Apache helicopter we lost cost $10,000 per hour to fly, and an F35 fighter costs $40,000 per hour.
We know about the downed Apache because it was too visible to cover up, but we have no idea, how many of our aircraft have been damaged or destroyed on the ground by Iranian strikes. We have little or no information about the cost of repairing the damage done by Iranian missile attacks on our bases in allied countries in the Persian Gulf, likewise the human cost of casualties on those bases.
We’ve heard various estimates of the alarming rate at which our munitions are being expended. That includes expensive precision missiles and bombs, and the defensive missiles that comprise Israel’s Iron Dome and the defensive batteries protecting all of our bases that are within each of Iran’s missiles and drones. Add it all up. New aircraft, new missiles and drones, reconstruction of damaged buildings and aircraft runways, and the injuries and stress on our troops from having to be constantly on alert for incoming missiles. We could be looking a nearly a trillion dollars in recovery costs when this is all over, just to return our military to the level of preparedness it enjoyed before the war.
To those costs, we must add the disruption to the American and world economies. We complain about four dollar plus gasoline, but Europe and Asia are facing far greater increases in energy costs, and some of our allies, (South Korea, Japan, the Phillipines,) are dangerously close to running out of oil.
The skyrocketing cost of fertilizers as a result of this war increases the price of food and raises the specter of shortages and famines, all of which is exacerbated by Trump killing USAID. The costs, taken together, are staggering, and they’re still rising, largely out of sight of most Americans.
These costs will re-ignite the guns or butter debate we seem to have every generation. How are we going to pay to restore the economy and our military preparedness – Trump asked Congress for $350 billion, today – while millions of Americans are losing their health care, their social security benefits are being threatened, and the social safety net seems to be cut back more each month. Where will the money to pay for all this come from with Trump’s permanent tax cuts on the wealthy in place?
In addition to financial costs, there are other significant costs that can’t be quantified in dollars and cents. The war has severely damaged our relationships with Europe, and Trump has weakened our response capability in the western Pacific so badly it’s almost an invitation to China to threaten Taiwan. Our prestige and the perceptions of America by foreigners are all suffering from this war, too. The number of European and Asian touurists visiting America and spending money here has already dropped significantly compared to before Trump’s second term.
Perhaps most significant is risk, whose cost is unknown. As Trump writhes trying to find a path out of the cul-de-sac he’s trapped himself in, his options for ending the conflict shrink. The last few days have seen attacks by United States forces and Iran on each other accelerate, threatening the tenuous peace negotiations. When Trump runs out of possible exit ramps, our greatest risk is that he will wildly escalate the war out of fury and frustration that things didn’t turn out as he wanted them to.
The chances of the Iran war spiraling out of control grow every day that our incompetent president allows it to continue. But let’s not let Congress off the hook. If our representatives grew a pair and stood up to Trump, this war could be history before summer’s end.