Alan Zendell, February 5, 2026
Much like Donald Trump’s first term, his sole major accomplishment in term two was passing his Big Beautiful Bill, which assured that his billionaire supporters would pay little or no tax on their income and people truly in need would see all the programs designed to help them either cut or eliminated, at least until a different Congress changes that. And even that may turn out to be partly an embarrassing failure.
Even if Trump isn’t, his supporters at the Heritage Society are smart enough to have understood on day one that he really only had about eighteen months to effect their agenda of white Christian nationalism. They knew from the start that when Americans finally woke up to the reality of Trump’s attempt to increase presidential power (meaning his own) to a Putin-like kleptocracy of the rich, his policies would horrify many of them. That meant that if the 2026 midterm elections actually happened as the Constitution requires, he would likely lose his majority in the House and possibly the Senate as well. And that meant that his ability to bully everyone else would come to an end.
Never shy about cheating or stealing, it was clear that Trump was going to make a lot of noise about elections. He still hasn’t stopped whining about the 2020 election, insisting that it was stolen from him despite both partisan and nonpartisan recounts that proved he lost and there was none of the widespread corruption he claimed. When Trump began suggesting that he would clean up the imaginary corruption, conspiracy theories abounded.
Would Trump use RFK’s madness to undermine Americans’ confidence in science and medicine, which, compounded with our withdrawal from the World Health Organization suggested that he was hoping for a new pandemic which he could use as a pretext for canceling the election? Would he use the twenty-fifth anniversary of nine-eleven to declare a national emergency based on a fantasy of terrorists planning something worse? Though grandiose, sick plans like those surely appeal to his narcissistic character, neither of those trial balloons survived.
Instead, he seized on gerrymandering and demanded that Texas redistrict their electorate to add five more Republican seats. He also began pressuring other red states to do the same, and Missouri took action that would add another seat. But Indiana said Hell No, and California and New York retaliated. The Supreme Court ruled that both Texas and California could use their new maps, and CNN’s statistician, Harry Enten, now projects that Trump’s gambit is likely to give the Democrats at least two more seats. The recent upset of a State Senate special election in Texas, in which a Democrat won by fourteen points in a district Trump won by seventeen, makes the map even more ominous for Trump, because Texas’ redistricting assumed Trump would retain the Hispanic vote he got in 2024. But it was Hispanics that drove the Democratic upset.
Trump believed that he could re-write the world’s economic and trade relationships by using the power of the American economy to impose tariffs. That plan had a couple of flaws. First, it almost surely violates the Constitution, which grants the power to levy tariffs to Congress. On top of that, while Trump has signed a few deals with countries that probably would have happened anyway, most of the industrialized world chose not to play Trump’s game. The first and most obvious casualty was our relationship with Canada, which has smartly been disengaging from the United States and signing trade deals with China and Europe. And today we learned that Canada’s automobile industry is extricating itself from dependence on the U. S., and investing heavily in electric vehicles, and industry sector Trump is trying to kill.
The Supreme Court has strongly suggested that Trump’s tariffs are illegal, but they have a real problem over what to do with the $200 billion that was collected improperly. No wonder their decision is taking so long.
Trump’s most glaring failure has been turning ICE into a federal thug force with clear instructions to DHS Secretary Kristi Noem that Americans’ First Amendment rights were no longer in play. Trump, who only knows how to use force to get things done, and really believed that his tough guy act would win out, badly miscalculated. His lack of respect for the average American, especially his base, which he repeatedly lied to and stole from, came back to haunt him. Americans by margins of four to one reject an American Gestapo, enabling the Democrats to hold DHS funding back in last week’s budget vote.
I promised you a report card:
Chutzbah – A plus
Fulfilling his oath to support and defend the Constitution – F
Reducing the cost of living – C minus
Transparency – D (D instead of F because negative correlations are as meaningful as positive ones, so all the lies and misdirection are eventually seen through)
Uniting America – F minus
Ending the war in Ukraine – D minus
Ending the war in Gaza – F for giving free reign to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to pursue genocide and physically destroy most of Gaza.