Alan Zendell, June 29, 2026
The next four months are going to be stressful and dangerous for America. Regardless of anything he says, President Trump is desperate to control the midterm elections which are now eighteen weeks away. If he maintains his majorities in Congress, he will be able to do irreversible damage to our country. If he doesn’t he will be a frustrated, angry lame duck, but he might be even more dangerous, then. If the midterms change the balance of power in Congress, we’re in for two years of tantrums and specious lawsuits over rigged elections.
Trump’s mental illness is on display daily. The more he loses the worse that will get, and the Supreme Court, today, handed him a stinging loss, upholding state laws that allow mail-in ballots to be counted after election day as long as they’re postmarked on time. They also refused to void a five million dollar judgment against him for sexually assaulting E. Jean Carroll, and they’re widely expected to deny Trump’s claim that would overturn the 14th Amendment guarantee that anyone born in the United States is a citizen.
The fact that the Senate pulled back its vote on the War Powers Resolution means that nothing is restraining Trump’s erratic behavior and postings on social media. His latest threat to annihilate Iran is another of his childish rants. They only make negotiations more difficult – have you ever tried to reason with a five-year-old having a tantrum? If an equitable peace agreement is ever reached it will be because the negotiators on both sides tune Trump out. None of his attempts to intimidate Iran have had any effect, because they know the war is extremely unpopular among American voters, as is Trump himself.
It’s hard for diplomats, legislators, and average Americans to predict what might happen next when our president’s words rarely have anything to do with reality. By now we’re used to the lies, insults, and delusional fantasies, but all that accomplishes is teaching us it’s best to ignore him. When people ask me to predict what he’ll do next, I usually say it’s impossible to know because Trump is driven by his ego, his greed, and his rage that everyone hasn’t fallen worshipfully in line whenever he speaks. At this moment, it’s harder than usual.
The problem is that Trump’s desperation to hold onto and increase his power is obvious to everyone, everywhere. The Congress knows, Iran knows, our Gulf allies know, and Israel knows. So do Europe, Russia, and China. And then there’s damage to our economy and the price of gas.
Iran seems to believe Trump would never resort to restarting the war, as do many home-grown pundits. They reason that only a quarter of us supported it from the outset, and the frightening speed at which we are dissipating our military resources makes any kind of massive assault irresponsible, not least because it’s now clear to everyone that only a D-Day style ground invasion or the use of a nuclear weapon can achieve Trump’s goals. Common sense would argue that neither of those has any chance of occurring, but when was the last time anything Trump did conformed with common sense?
The problem I see is that Trump has truly painted himself into a corner with no clear way out. His own party screams that he’s sabotaging the November election by focusing on a lost war and a series of vanity projects, but they’ve been doing that for months with no effect. My question is what is more likely to push Trump over the edge and down the rabbit hole, giving up his ego-driven need to dominate everyone and act rationally or being defied by an enemy he despises and seriously underestimated.
In the game of outrageous rants and threats, Iran’s are more credible. Their attacks on our bases in the Gulf States continue and our allies in the region fear the destruction of their oil wealth. The whole region is basically mercenary, pledging allegiance to the highest bidder. My fear is that in the end, Trump’s rage at being constantly outmaneuvered may eventually drown out all the other crazy voices in his head.
We know how he loves to order the military into battle, and it wouldn’t surprise me if one day he simply cracks and orders an all-out assault on Iran. If that happens, who’s going to stand in his way? Every senior military officer knows that if they do anything but march in lockstep, Pete Hegseth with simply fire them. And even if the Senate realizes their error and quickly reverses themselves, once the fighting re-starts in earnest it will be too little too late. The only way to stop him at that point would be to exercise the 25th amendment, but that takes time, and in the midst of total warfare anything could happen.
It’s really hard to see how anything good can come of this.