Art As Allegory

Alan Zendell, June 19, 2023

Author Diana Gabaldon began writing her Outlander books thirty-two years ago. She has completed nine of them, almost 8,000 pages of prose that have a diverse, devoted following that’s almost cult-like. Their success stems from many things – outstanding writing, an incredibly intense love story that spans 250 years, depending on how you count, elements of both science fiction and mysticism, and a unique view of how our nation came to exist that brilliantly blends fact and fiction. I find the combination irresistible.

I’ve read all nine books and began watching season 7 of the video version that recently dropped on Starz. Probably entirely by coincidence, they are a poignant allegory for the state of our nation today. The two protagonists are Claire, a British combat nurse who returns from World War 2 to join her husband for a long-delayed honeymoon in Scotland, and Jamie, the Laird (lord) of a Scottish clan during the uprising of the 1740s. How they find each other is the stuff of magic and romance, but beyond suspending disbelief over the basic premise, the rest resonates with everything we know and feel.

Gabaldon brings a number of disparate elements together to create a narrative that’s greater than the sum of its parts. Claire is a woman with the skills of a Harvard trained surgeon, and values typical of modern-day Brits and Americans, whose love for Jamie drives her to make an incredible choice: to trade her life in Boston, circa 1970, for a far more primitive one in the eighteenth century. If you want to know how she manages that feat, you’ll have to read the books or subscribe to Starz or Netflix.

Starting in Book 4, Jamie and Claire find themselves in the Colony of North Carolina in 1772. Claire, of course, knows how the Revolutionary War turns out, and having lived for twenty years in New England, her sentiments are with the Americans. Jamie, who fought the tyrannical Engish in Scotland and was imprisoned by them for a decade, is badly conflicted. In North Carolina, he’s a British subject, but he knows what Claire knows, and he despises slavery and racism as much as she does. Co-opted by the Governor, Jamie is forced to work for the Redcoats, and we see his gradual conversion to the cause of the Revolution.

In the process, I learned that most of what I knew about it was either wrong or incomplete. We meet Benjamin Franklin, who is not quite the patriotic hero I thought he was. He spent most of the years of unrest before 1776 in France, and remained a loyal British subject almost until the end. We meet George Washington and see the Revolution from his perspective and in a wonderful twist, Claire comes to know Benedict Arnold, who was a loyal subordinate general to Washington until his perceived betrayal by Washington made him a turncoat. To add flavor, we also meet the French General Lafayette and the Mohawk and Cherokee leaders who played pivotal roles in the fighting, and develop a real understanding of how the Revolution affected native Americans.

Altogether, these characters and situations form a tableau that’s eerily suggestive of what we are experiencing today in America. I’m sure it’s coincidental that the Revolution reaches its climax in Outlander in the midst of perhaps the worst crisis our democracy has ever faced. We see the hardship and suffering, the loss and death, and the personal struggles with conflicting loyalties. More subtly, we also see the fundamental clash between the tyranny of the English King George III and the ideals of Thomas Jefferson and all the patriots who put their lives on the line when they signed the Declaration of Independence. The revolutionaries are by no means angels – within their ranks are thugs and criminals, pirates, smugglers, and opportunists, bigots and superstitious fools. Yet, somehow, this collection of misfits overcome enormous odds to gain the right to govern themselves in a land of opportunity.

Today, we have the ironically named Freedom Caucus, which is the antithesis of everything we fought for in the 1770s. It’s all there in Outlander. First, greed – the idea of enslaving and practicing genocide on millions of people for the sake of profit; the reality of a time when women’s rights were virtually non-existent, when a woman like Claire is viewed by many as a witch; the contrast between the opulent lifestyles of the nobility and everyone else; and perhaps most disturbing, the concept of blind loyalty to a demagogue whose interests have nothing in common with the needs of the people who serve him.

Whether Ms Gabaldon or Starz intended to lay all this before us when so many Americans seem to be disavowing the ideals of our Constitution, I’m glad they did. I hope everyone who watches or reads these stories gets the underlying message.

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How Serious are the Charges Against Donald Trump?

Alan Zendell, June 15, 2023

In the polarized world of American politics, it’s not easy to have a calm, rational discussion when the subject is Donald Trump’s behavior. His indictment on thirty-seven counts of knowingly mishandling national security information and obstructing the government’s efforts to reclaim its property has become the focal point for one of the most partisan battles in recent years. But the case is really pretty simple. No one is disputing the obvious fact that Trump committed the crimes he’s charged with or that he incorrectly believed he had the absolute right to do whatever he pleased with highly classified documents after he left the White House.

Thus, we have the fascinating spectacle of far-right extremists in the Republican Party defending Trump with arguments that completely ignore the relevant facts. Legal experts have declared with near unanimity that Trump’s oft-repeated public assertions about what he can and cannot do with documents related to national security are totally without merit. Trump himself is heard on tape discussing them with people with whom he illegally shared them, decrying the fact that as a former president he doesn’t have the right to either de-classify or possess them.

His defenders ignore the shell game Trump engaged in to hide the documents from federal law enforcement officials although a federal judge and grand jury found that there was probable cause to believe Trump and his co-defendant repeatedly lied to them. They ignore the evidence, which, by now, almost everyone has seen and heard because much of it comes from statements Trump uttered on live television. Anyone else who said those things would have been convicting himself, but Trump’s idea of a legal defense is to lie and claim he’s being politically persecuted.

The two main defenses being aired on right-wing networks are that the entire case is a political witch hunt and that there’s no evidence of harm resulting from Trump’s illegal actions. Let’s look at those arguments.

Is there bias on the part of President Biden, Attorney General Merrick Garland, and Special Prosecutor Jack Smith? Probably – they wouldn’t be human if they weren’t disgusted with Trump’s behavior over the past eight years. That question arises often in our justice system at all levels because law enforcement, prosecutors, judges, and juries are not robots. Prosecutors often have strong negative feelings about the criminals they indict, but that doesn’t invalidate the evidence they present. If people who despise Donald Trump and what he stands for dance with joy at his indictment, that in no way diminishes his guilt.

The argument that there’s no evidence that our country was damaged militarily or with respect to intelligence gathering is even more absurd. If your teenager was arrested for driving recklessly at a hundred miles an hour, would you claim they shouldn’t be held accountable because they didn’t kill anyone? Do we acquit people charged attempted murder because they failed to kill their intended victims?

I talked at length about this with someone I respect whose military and national security career spanned more than forty years. He raised an argument I hadn’t thought of, specifically that it doesn’t matter what Trump did because our system of national security and intelligence doesn’t prevent our enemies from knowing all our secrets. He believes our entire security apparatus is a sham that supports a lucrative industry that makes a lot of people rich. He has access to sources I don’t, but I have trouble with that view. Remember Edward Snowden and Julian Assange? Remember the executions of Julius and Ethel Rosenberg?

I also have my own experience with national security. My work required me to hold Top Secret clearance for many years. For all that time, I was continually reminded, if not threatened outright, with all the ways the government could send me to prison for the rest of my life if I violated the same Espionage Act that Trump has run afoul of.

This is not a game, and in the real world, it’s not in the least political. People who hold such clearances take them very seriously, because aside from caring about the security of our country, their jobs and livelihoods require them to. Even if I supported Donald Trump, I would be outraged by his handling of sensitive material that could put our field operatives and our entire nation at risk, and I’m not the only one. In our divided House of Representatives, members with backgrounds in the military or national security are not speaking up to defend Trump. Some are even speaking out against him.

The charges against Trump are extremely serious. Step away from the politics and ask yourself how you would vote on his jury if he were anyone but Donald Trump. His identity should have nothing to do with his guilt or innocence.

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No One is Above the Law

Alan Zendell, June 10, 2023

The federal indictment against former president Donald Trump that was made public, yesterday, by Special Prosecutor Jack Smith signaled the beginning of the end game for the most critical test our democracy has faced since the Civil War. Trump himself said, repeatedly, during his 2016 presidential campaign that no one is above the law, as he went on to promise voters that his administration would enforce every national security law in the U. S. Code indiscriminately.

Trump’s critics have long predicted that his love of television cameras and social media, his lack of respect for truth, and his inability to control his narcissistic personality disorder would eventually be his undoing. Demagogues like Trump survive by keeping their supporters angry, convincing them that everyone but him is corrupt and out to get them. They all have the same dangerously charismatic ability to lie convincingly without flinching.

From day one, historians and responsible journalists have credibly compared Trump’s rise to power with Adolf Hitler’s. Hitler and his Nazi Party came to power by promulgating The Big Lie that their country was being undermined and sabotaged by foreigners and immigrants, notably Jews. They succeeded in dismantling the free press and the Constitution of the Weimar Republic by exacerbating the terrible economic conditions and unemployment that followed the First World War.

We defeated the Fascists, but not before they came dangerously close to destroying Europe and isolating America from the rest of the world. Yet, only a decade later, prominent American politicians were using the same tactics in their paranoid obsession to root out Communist conspirators. The playbook for that effort was the brainchild of the infamous Roy Cohn, who served as the Senate’s prosecutor for the Communist witch hunt of the 1950s. It used baseless lies and insinuations, fear-mongering in the media, and a hate-based alternate reality to supplant facts.

Cohn went on to become consigliere for some of the worst organized crime families of the post-war era, which put him in contact with a young, morally challenged businessman named Donald Trump. He explained to Trump how the Fascist playbook that brought Hitler to power and kept our most violent criminals out of prison applied to him. Trump had always gravitated toward lies, denials, and intimidation, but Cohn shaped them into a coherent philosophy.

Such tactics only succeed when people of principle succumb. The economic chaos in Germany in the 1930s enabled the Nazis to overthrow their nation’s justice system, but here in America, we have committed people in federal law enforcement who took down everyone from Al Capone to Trump’s friend, John Gotte, including Cohn, who was disbarred and died in federal prison.

That brings us full circle to the Trump indictment. The false 2016 promises about enforcing all defense and security laws stemmed from Trump’s attacks on Hilary Clinton’s sloppy use of a private email server. His rants about perceived security breaches caused former FBI Director James Comey to launch an investigation of Clinton’s actions only a month before the 2016 election, which, despite finding no evidence of either unlawful intent or harm, was instrumental in enabling Trump to defeat her. That was the same FBI Trump’s defenders are accusing of being out to get him and serving as a political foil of the Biden administration.

To distance the charges against Trump from politics, Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed Special Prosecutor Jack Smith to direct the investigation which resulted in yesterday’s thirty-seven count indictment. The indictment resulted from the deliberations of a grand jury comprised of average Americans residing in south Florida that was randomly drawn from a population that won Trump a majority in Florida in 2016 and 2020. In that context, it’s impossible to defend Trump’s charge that the indictments are solely motivated by an attempt to keep him from winning in 2024. Based on what the investigation found, the prosecutors clearly believe Trump is unfit to serve as president again, but that’s because of his criminal behavior.

Trump’s attitude, words, and behavior clearly mimic those of the dictators and crime bosses he has worshipped all his life. The people prosecuting the case against Trump understand that they will be attacked and lied about. Their lives will be scrutinized and dragged through the mud, and there are already signs that Trump supporters are attempting to foment a second insurrection outside the courthouse where Trump will be arraigned. But make no mistake. The people attempting to bring Trump to justice are heroes on the front lines of the battle to preserve our Constitution and our nation. If Trump is allowed to escape punishment, if even worse, he somehow regains the presidency, that will portend a dark future for America.

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The 2024 Primaries Will Not Be a Repeat of 2016

Alan Zendell, June 8, 2023

Political pundits, who rarely get it right more often than you or I, have told us for months that the 2024 Republican primaries would be a repeat of 2016. Remember when there were sixteen Republicans vying for the presidential nomination? Remember how Trump’s shameless, belligerent, offensive style intimidated his opponents, forcing them to drop out one by one? That happened because the others were all professional politicians, who, for all their hypocrisy and misleading promises, were following a well-established set of rules for political campaigns.

Trump, who doesn’t believe rules apply to him, was so outrageous, so profane, so effective at blending lies and truth until most people couldn’t tell them apart, that his opponents reacted like deer caught in headlights. It made me wonder at the time how these people reacted to schoolyard bullies, they seemed so helpless and unable to defend themselves. Like those kids in a schoolyard, it never occurred to them that they could have brought Trump down simply by uniting. They (and we) were all victims of their personal blind ambition. They threw around words like “sacrifice,” but not one of them was willing to cede his place in line until it was too late.

I have good news for everyone who believes Trump is a threat to our country, to basic decency, and to that mythical world order which is based on the rule of law. The pundits are wrong. Last evening, before CNN broadcast a Town Hall with newly announced candidate Mike Pence, they had a fascinating panel discussion. The person who most impressed me was Geoff Duncan, Georgia’s Lieutenant Governor from 2019 to 2023. More than anyone I can think of, he and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensberger, illustrate the fractured condition of the Republican Party that Trump left in his wake.

Duncan and Raffensberger were in the midst of the firestorm created by Trump’s attempt to overturn the 2020 election. To the surprise and relief of everyone who believes in our Constitution, they were the only two senior elected Republicans in the entire country who stood up to Trump’s lies and intimidation, despite enormous risks to their careers. Lifelong Conservatives, they both declared on national television that Georgia’s election results would not be tampered with. Last night, before a large TV audience, Duncan declared, “Trump is definitely going down!”

He was referring both to Trump’s attempt to gain the 2024 Republican nomination, and state and federal justice systems that have spent more than two years investigating whether Trump is guilty of serious crimes. New York courts have already found Trump’s company criminally guilty of fraudulent business practices and Trump himself guilty of sexual misconduct and bribery in a civil trial. The Department of Justice appears to be on the verge of indicting him for serious felonies concerning his illegal retention of Top Secret national security documents and his instigation of the January 6th insurrection at the Capitol.

For his part, Pence, Trump’s former vice president, declared that Trump’s actions around January 6th and his continuing refusal to accept his 2020 defeat make him unfit to serve as president again. If, as I do, you believe the same thing, that should be cheering news, because Pence is positioning himself to take a large chunk of evangelical votes away from his former boss. The far-right Christian movement was willing to look the other way when Trump acted like an immoral pig, because he promised them an all-out war against abortion and women’s rights to control their own health. He delivered on that promise, but evangelists know that everything Trump did was transactional. Pence, on the other hand, is (or pretends to be) a true Christian evangelist who said, last night, that he favors a national ban on abortion.

While I find Pence creepy at best, and I cringe at the notion of him in the White House, he gave some very good answers in his Town Hall. About trans-gender individuals, he said he had no problem with adults making whatever gender choices they were comfortable with, but that chemical or surgical procedures that make irreversible changes to their bodies should be outlawed for people under eighteen, a slap at Trump but more so at Ron DeSantis. With respect to Ukraine, Pence distanced himself from Trump and DeSantis, stating that defending Ukraine against Russian aggression is our highest priority. Otherwise, he warned, Putin will keep going until NATO is directly involved militarily, and any weakness we show standing up to Russia will enable China’s expansionist goals.

The news that Trump will almost surely fail in his attempt to regain the presidency is very good. It’s possible that whoever replaces him might be worse, but the thought of saying good-bye to Trump once and for all makes the risk worth taking.

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Burn It All Down!

Alan Zendell, June 3, 2023

The fake soap opera over the debt ceiling is finally over. It might be wishful thinking, but the resounding final vote in the House of Representatives that passed the bill formed from the bipartisan compromise may have been an indication that things are going to change. Ever since Donald Trump entered politics, eight years ago, they have been dominated by extremists. First, it was the far right, egged on and enabled by Trump himself; then, it was the inevitable reactions by far-left groups.

The result has not been good for America. It further weakened our already gridlocked, dysfunctional Congress and had our country on a self-destructive path. Our allies were steadily losing confidence in America as a reliable partner, much less as a world leader. And our adversaries, seeing the disarray that extremists caused here at home, took full advantage of it. China is aggressively staking its claim for dominance in Asia and the South Pacific, building its navy at a dizzying pace, and attempting to redefine international spheres of influence. And with the damage done to NATO’s confidence in America’s support and leadership by the Trump administration, Vladimir Putin mistakenly thought he could invade and defeat Ukraine without triggering a military response from the West.

If our loss of status internationally wasn’t enough, we are approaching an election season in which the Republicans seem to be basing their entire primary campaign fighting an internal culture war instead of dealing with the country’s real problems. Its two leading contenders, Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, seem more intent on capturing the votes of racist and religious extremists and compromising our democratic principles in favor of a government that looks more like Fascism every day than addressing the needs of the majority of Americans.

Until the phony debt ceiling crisis that occupied the media’s attention throughout the Spring it appeared that, following the model that swept Trump into office in 2016, a small group of right-wing radicals had taken their entire party hostage, preventing reasonable dialogue and the kind of bipartisan cooperation that we have always taken for granted. It takes a while for major change to percolate in an open society of a third of a billion people, but maybe…just maybe…we now see the first signs that responsible people who take their oaths to support the Constitution seriously have had enough. I’m even hearing talk that the same bipartisan majority that raised the debt ceiling may now act to abolish it permanently.

Trump and his followers created the illusion that American politics no longer had a viable center. If we believed the broadcast and social media, all the centrists were gone, leaving those at the extremes who were willing to burn everything down to get their way in charge. I was taught that only corrupt, third-world nations behaved that way, yet here we were, clawing back individual rights over which Americans had become dangerously complacent, and attempting to redefine who has the right to vote.

America thrives on compromise and the assumption that the majority of us want what is best for the nation as a whole. The existence of a small, powerful group of extremist lawmakers willing to risk destroying everything to achieve their goal is anathema to our American dreams and ideals. Fortunately, that small group isn’t as powerful as some feared. Arrogant clowns like Matt Gaetz, angry, wealthy extremists like Marjorie Taylor Greene, and Trumpers like Chip Roy and Paul Gosar were allowed to vent their anger, but in the end, as most of us anticipated, cooler, saner heads in the Republican Caucus prevailed. The same was true for Progressives, but it wasn’t the followers of AOC who instigated this crisis.

The majority of Americans do not support extremist views, whether they address abortion, same-sex marriage, non-binary gender choices, education, or programs aimed at allowing lower income family to survive. Thus, the recent media furor over a minority dictating policy to the majority, which might have led to the end of our democracy. Just as we refuse to negotiate with terrorists, we must have limited tolerance for people with extreme views who are willing to bring the entire system down rather than lose. We should be grateful that our Congress seems to have reached that conclusion.

If you don’t find the threat of people willing to burn everything down to get what they want credible, I direct your attention to writer Hugh Howey’s 2012-13 Silo trilogy which was brilliantly adapted for television by Apple TV+. Without being a spoiler, I will simply say that these stories illustrate, clearly and credibly, what can happen when a small, maniacal minority has the tools and power to make decisions for the rest of us.

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The Debt Ceiling Farce

Alan Zendell, May 28, 2023

People have been asking for months whether the Republicans in the House would force the nation to default on its debts. I consistently said, “Of course not.” The weeks of posturing that have dominated the media don’t even qualify as a drama. The right-wing extremists’ demands were so outrageous from the start, it was clear that they would never prevail. Why? Because their wealthy donors’ only real priority is maintaining and increasing their wealth. Default could cost them trillions of dollars, collectively.

The debt ceiling charade was never about the debt ceiling. It has been a lesson in how far a handful of extreme Trumpers are willing to go to remain in the spotlight. More importantly, it has been a lesson in what happens when the political ambition of one man to become House Speaker trumps everything else – except the influence on the Republican Party of Trump himself. Kevin McCarthy sold what was left of his duplicitous soul to become Speaker, and now the entire country is paying the price for his inability to lead his own caucus.

We are reminded by historians that lust for wealth and power has always been a primary determining force in our politics. The difference, today, is that the curtain has been pulled back on the way our political process really works. Too many of our media outlets get rich hyping fears of financial catastrophe. Too many have abandoned any pretense of ethical journalism. The lack of respect for truth that has been the hallmark of Donald Trump’s career has taken hold like a new strain of kudzu strangling a forest.

When the internet was in its infancy, some futurists and writers quickly recognized its potential for disrupting the beliefs and values we live by. They began describing a future in which the term “news” had completely lost its meaning. Instead of reputable sources reporting facts, everyone with a computer, even people like me, could represent themselves as experts and invent whatever narrative suited them. These writers predicted that the internet would create outlets for so many diverse opinions on every subject, every fringe group would have a voice, and the average person would have no ability to distinguish truth from fiction.

The flow of real information would be replaced by advocacy groups of every kind flooding the ether with spam and nonsense and become a tool for anyone unscrupulous enough to use it. When I first encountered this kind of extrapolative fiction, thirty years ago, it scared me. Not only were the predictions credible, they seemed inevitable. How could a worldwide system of information in which everyone has a voice that is responsible to no higher authority ever work?

We see, now that the future has arrived, that it doesn’t work very well. The die was cast when Roger Ailes convinced Ruppert Murdoch that the idea of integrity in journalism could easily be sidestepped and replaced with a massive propaganda machine. Futurists don’t always get it right, but these visionaries nailed it. Everyone, from domestic terrorists to people selling their own brand of truth skewed to increase their own wealth and power has a voice. If we’ve learned anything in last decade, it’s that those voices, no matter how vile and destructive, always find an audience.

Thus, we have twisted people like Marjorie Taylor Greene and Matt Gaetz wielding far more power than they should, combined with a leader in so far over his head, I’m shocked he hasn’t drowned yet. We’ve seen this before. In the 1950s, another McCarthy, a Republican Senator from Wisconsin was able to maintain a reign of terror for years, riding the propaganda-induced fear that we were being taken over by Communists. But Joseph McCarthy was eventually discredited and censured because politics aside, there was still an underlying basis of integrity in our Congress.

Joseph McCarthy was so dangerous, the term “McCarthyism” is now synonymous with demagoguery. The ability of a handful of extremists, today, to bring Congress to its knees makes me wonder how far the former Senator from Wisconsin would have been able to go with unregulated media giants like Fox News, Facebook, and Twitter amplifying his voice.

After all the furor of the past few months, the deal reached between Kevin McCarthy and the White House demonstrates what a farce the debt ceiling crisis has always been. The Democrats gave up nothing of real substance, while McCarthy has struggled to save face within his caucus. The next few days will be when the real drama unfolds, as our putative leaders try to sell the deal to their members.

Right-wing extremists who have driven the crisis are not about to suddenly go silent. The issue will be whether there are still enough Republicans in the House of Representatives who understand the meaning of the oath they swore when they took office. Of less interest is whether Kevin McCarthy’s speakership survives.

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Political Re-alignment

Alan Zendell, May 19, 2023

Historians and observers of political science often tell us that the political landscape hasn’t always been as it is today, unless the subject is volatility and change. As the culture war that began with the Tea Party and Freedom Caucus movements heated up in recent years, we were frequently reminded that Abraham Lincoln was a Republican, and that his incarnation of the party stood for equal rights and the abolition of slavery. We’re also reminded that our Civil War was actually a conflict of economic philosophies. In the mid-19th century, slavery was as much an economic issue concerning the right of major corporate interests to conduct business as they saw fit, as a social and moral one.

Back then, it was the Democrats who championed the rights of southern agricultural business owners to own and use slaves to assure that their plantations thrived. Nearly a hundred years later, southern Democrats were still fighting to preserve segregation and limit the rights of people descended from slaves to vote and take advantage of the “American Dream” of opportunity. Frustrated by the segregationists in his own party, President Harry Truman began appealing for African American votes while hard core southern Democrats continued to draw support from white voters, beginning the shift to Republican control of the southern states.

The progressive legislation passed by the Kennedy and Johnson administrations further redefined American politics. Republicans now championed the pro-segregationist policies of the south while Democrats supported labor and social change. But as corporations grew in wealth and power, they crossed international boundaries, causing many observers to fear that they were more powerful than national governments, including our own. “International cartels” were seen to be the enemy by many, led by the oil industry, with pharmaceutical companies not far behind on the list of hated entities.

In the 1980s, Republican ideology changed completely to support large corporations and wealthy conservatives, focusing on the needs of white male voters at the expense of women and non-white minorities, incidentally strengthening those fearsome cartels. But as the culture wars, whose serious beginnings can be traced to Newt Gingrich heated up, corporate leaders recognized that their interests no longer completely aligned with the burgeoning right-wing branch of the Republican party. Many of our corporate giants which had originally been run by right-wing extremists of an earlier generation – Ford, McDonalds, and Disney to list a few – had shifted their business philosophies to the needs of their customers while new corporate giants, notably tech companies, were rooted in progressive social change.

All of which brings us to the startling events of today. The two leading Republican candidates for the 2024 presidential nomination are battling for the votes of right-wing extremists who support white supremacy and consider women second-class citizens, and pandering to religious groups who believe abortion is murder but refuse to take a stand against assault weapons. Unless Tim Scott, Asa Hutchinson, or Nikki Haley gain traction, the Republican nomination will be won either by someone who has shown he has no respect for laws, rules, or our Constitution, or by someone who doesn’t believe his opponent goes far enough in restricting the rights of people he doesn’t like.

Neither Donald Trump nor Ron DeSantis polls well nationally in an electorate that spans the entire political spectrum, and neither has shown a tendency to moderate his views once he’s in power. Trump’s previous actions are likely to lead to multiple serious felony indictments, and DeSantis seems to lack the filters he needs to avoid offending millions of diverse voters. His latest debacle is an all-out war with the Disney Corporation, for which most of the country has warm, fuzzy feelings. And the basis for this war? Disney had the audacity to speak out against DeSantis’s autocratic, bigoted attempts to restrict the rights of the LBGTQ world and anyone whom he can label a supporter of the BLM or Woke movements. (Can anyone actually define Woke for me?)

Taking on a major corporation that is loved by Americans over an ideological issue that is as close to Fascist as we ever get in public seems at best to be a serious miscalculation that rivals some of Trump’s views of how the world works. We have the spectacle of the two leading candidates of the party that until recently stood for business, law and order, and the Constitution fighting it out over who gets the votes of racists, misogynists, and people who support violent insurrection.

As the fight between these two gets nastier and more over the top – and you can bet that it will – how do they expect us, the voters, to react? If a candidate who focuses all of his resources on winning the votes of the worst of us were to actually become president, I would seriously fear for our future.

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Objective Journalism

Alan Zendell, May 16, 2023

One of the myths post-WW2 American children were taught in school was that journalism was about reporting the truth and scrupulously distinguishing facts not only from lies, but from opinions as well. I bought into that wholeheartedly, because I also believed all the other stuff we were taught: America saved the world from Fascism; America is where the good guys live; America is the greatest, fairest, most democratic country on Earth where everyone has the same opportunity to succeed. I was naively, unabashedly patriotic, and why not?

Europe and Asia were a mess, and we had not only just “won” the worst war in the history of the world, but the next bunch of bad guys was already gearing up to destroy democracy and everything else that was good. Communism, we were taught, was the polar opposite of Fascism. Yet, as a child, I could see little difference between the Fascist regimes of the 1930s and the Communist dictatorships of the 1950s.

I didn’t realize until much later that my education had been strongly influenced by government propaganda and an unwritten pact between the government and the major news outlets. We believed unreservedly in the First Amendment to the Constitution – as long as no one challenged the basic truths I noted above. I lived in New York City until I was twenty-four, long enough to see the New York Post begin to degenerate into the Murdoch gossip rag it is today. In the following years, the Washington Post was my hometown newspaper. I was such a true believer, I complained that the Vietnam/Watergate era Post, despite its heroic coverage of the war and the Nixon administration, was often guilty of representing opinion as fact, something they corrected as their journalistic stature grew.

Then, we entered the age of cable news. CNN showed us live coverage of the first Gulf War, uncensored by anyone. What may have been the last completely unedited coverage of a major news event, on December 9, 1992, was reported by the Washington Post as “the first amphibious [U. S. Marine] landing televised live. With scores of reporters and camera operators lining the beach in the Somali capital of Mogadishu, the pre-dawn landing unfolded as an almost farcical event, with bright camera lights illuminating what was supposed to have been a stealthy military operation in potentially hostile territory.”

Journalism had reached a fork in the road. On one hand, the government began to control what news media were allowed to cover, embedding journalists in military operations under the supervision of the commanders. On another, cable news outlets of every political stripe began popping up, unveiling a new kind of journalism which made no bones about graying the line between fact and fiction. The stars of this new way to disseminate information were Fox News and Facebook, the former designing itself around a commitment to bring down liberal politics, and the latter employing a business model that put profit ahead of national security and truth.

As news media began advocating political ideologies, I thought CNN strove for balance, although as one of Donald Trump’s favorite targets, his followers routinely attacked it as biased. While being grouped with entities like the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal might be viewed as a positive thing, it hurt CNN’s ratings; whatever else it may be, cable news is about money and sponsors. So CNN decided to attract a broader audience, i. e., they began shifting their image to the right. What more logical thing could they do, then, than offer Donald Trump a free hour to dispense his lies? They called it a Town Hall, but many people viewed it as a thinly veiled Trump political rally, an impression supported by the fact that the live audience was dominated by Trump supporters.

Jay Rosen, who has taught journalism at New York University for thirty-six years, addressed that in an interview aired by MSNBC on May 12. He criticized the way the media cover politics in America, correctly noting that they feed a kind of horserace mentality – Americans are obsessed with polls and predictions, so that’s what the media give them. Rosen pointed out, however, that that plays into the hands of political spin experts and people who purchase airtime on news networks.

Rosen believes the proper way for journalists to approach the 2024 election is to focus on the likely consequences for the country and for average Americans if Trump, Biden, or anyone else should win. How will our lives be impacted? How will America’s place in the world fare? If journalists take on those tasks responsibly, perhaps Americans will start taking the future of our country seriously instead of waving the flag for whomever panders most effectively. Can you imagine that?

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Trump Will Never Change

Alan Zendell, May 12, 2023

When Donald Trump was elected president in 2016, those of us who believed he would be a disaster as leader of the Free World were assured by his supporters that once in office, the blustering, lying candidate, who demonstrated every day that he would pander to the most craven of us to gain their votes, would change. Like many presidents before him, he would move toward the center, moderate his language, and improve his image, perhaps even demonstrate compassion. It never happened throughout his presidency, it hasn’t happened since, and his seventy-minute Town Hall on CNN Wednesday evening made it clear that it never will.

CNN has been criticized for giving Trump all that free air time, but the network is trying to move its own image toward the center, and in any case, it’s hard to fault them for being more open minded. On its face, offering Trump an international stage on which he could respond to all the attacks he’s facing was a reasonable thing to do. If CNN was attempting to defuse some of the hyper-polarization in our country, however, they failed, although Trump’s performance made it clear that was an impossible task.

If they expected the forum to reveal anything we didn’t already know about Trump, they failed at that, too. Rather, Wednesday night’s Town Hall confirmed our worst fears and expectations. Trump’s entire campaign will simply be a repetition of his lies, an attempt to re-invent history, and Act Three of his shameless narcissism. He treated the Town Hall not as an attempt to demonstrate why he should again be elected president, but as a television show. It reminded me of the final scenes of the film, Quiz Show, in which RCA Chairman David Sarnoff addresses the federal investigator who proved that NBC’s (RCA owned NBC at the time) quiz show 24 was rigged. Expecting Sarnoff to be chastened, the investigator is shocked when he says, “we never claimed the show was honest. It was entertainment.”

That seems to be exactly the way Trump viewed Wednesday’s Town Hall. He was comedian, huckster, clown, and shameless liar. He played to the small audience of supporters who packed the hall and some of them (not all) laughed and applauded his jokes, delusions, and insults. The pundits keep telling us Trump has a total lock on the Republican nomination for 2024, and if you judged by the rabid enthusiasm of some of the audience at St. Anselm College in New Hampshire, you might be inclined to agree. But look a bit further.

I wonder why CNN didn’t do more to assure that the audience, specifically the questioners, were representative of New Hampshire Republicans. In a small auditorium a loud minority can sound a lot bigger than it is. And unlike 2016 and 2020, many Republicans were not shy in blasting Trump afterwards. If you believe the press leaks, Democrats were ecstatic at Trump’s performance. In seventy minutes, he provided them with dozens of campaign ads straight from his undisciplined mouth.

After many years of working with sampling and statistical forecasting, I am confident that the polls that guarantee Trump’s nomination are misleading. How long will legitimate Conservatives and independents remain silent when Trump is personally indicted on serious felony charges in Georgia and by the Department of Justice? When it’s clear to everyone that no one but Trump’s sycophants believe his reckless claims? There will surely come a point at which it all sounds as old, tired, and pathetic as the man uttering them. If Trump were as good a showman as he thinks he is, he’d realize that he needs some new material.

Calling moderator Caitlin Collins “a nasty person” when she continually held his feet to the fire over obvious lies came off lame and trite – haven’t we heard all this before? I thought CNN made a brilliant choice having Ms. Collins on stage alone with Trump. She’s a skilled journalist, a talented interviewer, and an attractive woman who nearly matches Trump in height if not girth. The way he talked over her, attempting to dominate every interaction, particularly when the issue was his treatment of women, cannot have been lost on the millions of women who watched and listened. And the way she stood up to him, going toe-to-toe with a former president of the United States, had to be empowering for every woman who ever suffered at the hands of a male bully.

I was talking with a purple group of friends, yesterday, in which Republicans outnumbered Democrats, but all the Republicans harkened back to the days when most Republicans respected traditional Conservative values. We all agreed on the perfect scenario for November, 2024. Biden should select Liz Cheney as his running mate. I’d stay up late to watch those debates.

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The Carroll Verdict as an Inflection Point for Trump’s Future

Alan Zendell, May 9, 2023

Today, a jury of six men and three women in a New York Federal Court found Donald Trump liable for sexual battery and defamation against the plaintiff, writer E. Jean Carroll. Considering how difficult it is to prosecute sexual abuse and rape trials and the fact the event in question occurred more than thirty years ago, the evidence must have been damn convincing for the jury to unanimously agree after deliberating for only half a day that Trump must pay Ms. Carroll almost five million dollars to compensate her for the harm she suffered.

Media pundits were quick to address how the verdict may affect voters, explaining the obvious, that they can be divided into three groups, as Republicans at the recent CPAC conference did: those who would never vote for Trump under any circumstances, those who would vote for him even if he committed a murder on live television, and those whose minds can be changed, especially if they voted for Trump in the past and now feel disillusioned. I believe the latter group, the only one that really matters in a close election, represents between ten and fifteen percent of the electorate.

It’s an important reminder that even in a strong democracy, a relatively small minority can determine the outcome of elections. That’s why red states are passing voter suppression laws that have already been shown to effectively reduce voter participation by black, Hispanic, and young voters. Finding ways to enable an angry, loud minority to hold sway over the majority has been the dominant strategy of far-right Republicans since the 1980s.

Leaders as diverse as Napoleon Bonaparte and Winston Churchill told us history is written by the victors, and that notion is what drives the current attacks on democracy by right-wing extremists. This isn’t the first time a committed minority has achieved a beachhead of power and control. From here, things can go two ways. Either the lazy, ill-informed masses wake up and fight to preserve our democracy or the slide toward autocracy continues unabated until billionaires, racists, misogynists, and xenophobes redefine our Constitution in line with the values of Donald Trump.

Trump has been clear about his values. As early as his famous ride down the escalator eight years ago, he told us all non-white immigrants and refugees looking to America for succor are drug dealers, murderers, and rapists, a lie that appealed to a shocking number of Americans. A few months later the infamous 2005 Access Hollywood tape surfaced, in which Trump bragged that as a celebrity he could sexually molest women whenever it suited him, confident that he would get away with it, after which thirteen women, most of whom had never met each other went public accusing him of rape or sexual assault.

I and millions of other Americans were confounded by the way Trump supporters, particularly Evangelicals, wrote off Trump’s immorality and sexual conduct in 2016. Trump and evangelists have an important thing in common: when the prize is power, they’re both willing to treat women as secondary citizens whose rights should be defined by men.

Each incident that would have destroyed most politicians, taken by itself in a festering political environment, was somehow ignored. Trump and his allies at Fox News understood that anti-Semitism, bigotry, and resentment of people with bigger homes and cars would stir up far more intense emotions among Trump’s base than concern about women’s rights. I couldn’t understand that until I realized most of Trump’s constituencies were male-dominated sects in which women were already conditioned to be subservient and accept their role as baby makers and sex toys.

An organism as large as the United States has enormous inertia. It’s harder to change the direction of American politics than to make U-turn in a battleship. But once momentum starts to swing in a new direction it can be inexorable. Historians look back to identify events that were pivots for change, or as our president would say, inflection points. They’re real, although they’re far easier to identify in hindsight than in real time.

The Carroll verdict may be the inflection point that marks the decline and eventual destruction of Donald Trump as a political force in America, and Trump will undoubtedly makes things worse by not being able to control his hate-laced outbursts. This was not some kangaroo court verdict by a politicized state court. Federal courts are an essential line of defense in preserving our rights and our Constitution, and this one just spoke loud and clear.

The snail’s pace at which our legal system operates and the startling lack of confidence Americans feel in their Supreme Court conspired to help doubters believe Trump would never be brought to justice. I never believed that. The worm is turning, and by the time we vote in the 2024 primaries, Trump will be drowning in his own personal cesspool.

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